18 Jul · 20:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RA
🇨🇿Radek Adamczyk
ELO 1436
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Stolba
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1450
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Adamczyk covers set handicap as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Stolba
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.