18 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1452
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Guliak
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1444
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Guliak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (43)
Fair odds · Guliak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.