18 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kanera
ELO 1571
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Prosa
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1595
FormWLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Kanera covers set handicap as underdog 67% (33)
Fair odds · Prosa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H25-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.