18 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1475
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Bosak
LJ
🇨🇿Libor Jemelka
ELO 1412
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
🌟Jemelka stays under total as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Bosak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.