18 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1510
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1490
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stolfa🌟Stolfa covers set handicap as underdog 63% (27)
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.25· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.