18 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1465
FormWWLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Priesol
RK
🇨🇿Radim Kvasnicka
ELO 1465
FormLWLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Priesol
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H11-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.