19 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DL
🇨🇿Daniel Langer
ELO 1618
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Langer
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1482
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Langer
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+136
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+136)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)