19 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kos
ELO 1655
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cernik
JC
🇨🇿Jan Cernik
ELO 1723
FormLLLLL
46%
54%
🌟Kos stays under total as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Cernik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+68
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.