19 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1424
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Barta
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1419
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Barta stays under total as favourite 65% (49)
Fair odds · Barta
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.