19 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1467
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jasek
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1496
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Jasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (43)
Fair odds · Jasek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H16-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.