19 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tacinec
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1481
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H19-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.