19 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1544
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowolowski
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1496
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Jasek stays under total as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.