19 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1544
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kowolowski
RG
🇨🇿Roman Guliak
ELO 1467
FormWLWWW
54%
46%
🌟Kowolowski goes over total as favourite 62% (85)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+77
H2H3-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.