19 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MT
🇨🇿Martin Tacinec
ELO 1509
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tacinec
MR
🇨🇿Milan Regner
ELO 1401
FormWWWWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Tacinec
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)