19 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1578
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Plachta
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1593
FormLWWLL
49%
51%
🌟Plachta stays under total as favourite 73% (37)
Fair odds · Plachta
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.