19 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1635
FormWLWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Biolek
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1708
FormWLWWW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (273)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H32-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.