19 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1715
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dzida
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1635
FormWLWLW
54%
46%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (273)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 73% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+80
H2H25-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.