19 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1482
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Koral
MK
🇨🇿Michal Koral
ELO 1497
FormLLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Blejchar🌟Koral rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (22)
Fair odds · Koral
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.