19 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1482
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Gebek
EG
🇨🇿Evald Gebek
ELO 1567
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Gebek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~73 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.