19 Jul · 13:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1240
FormLLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+121
H2H6-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)