19 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolek
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1457
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (105)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H4-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.