19 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1341
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Vrabec
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1240
FormLLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Vrabec
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+101
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)