19 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1341
FormWWWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~71 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.