19 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Milan Smesny
ELO 1346
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Smesny
MV
🇨🇿Milan Vrabec
ELO 1341
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🌟Smesny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (39)
Fair odds · Smesny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H9-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.