19 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1708
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Biolek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1702
FormWWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szotkowski🌟Szotkowski covers set handicap as underdog 78% (67)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H17-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.