19 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Michal Kaspar
ELO 1392
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Zientek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (42)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.