19 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1412
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Tyn
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tyn
ELO 1439
FormWLWWW
49%
51%
🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (105)
Fair odds · Tyn
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H7-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.