19 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1354
FormWLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~72 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H12-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.