19 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolar🌟Kolar covers set handicap as underdog 64% (39)
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H5-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.