19 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ruzicka
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1587
FormLWLWW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.82· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H58-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.