19 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1587
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolisnyk
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1567
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Kolisnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (70)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H53-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.