19 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1587
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolar
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Kolar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (34)
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.