20 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1361
FormLWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svoboda
VS
🇨🇿Vladimir Svoboda
ELO 1428
FormLLLLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 55% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.