19 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1510
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Briza
FB
🇨🇿Frantisek Briza
ELO 1526
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
🌟Horak covers set handicap as underdog 68% (38)
Fair odds · Briza
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H29-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.