19 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Ruzicka
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1567
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H89-149
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.