19 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1315
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vaclavik
MV
🇨🇿Miroslav Vaclavik
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Vaclavik
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.