20 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1479
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1546
FormWLWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+67
H2H25-18
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.