20 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1537
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chlebecek
MC
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1556
FormLWLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cermak🌟Cermak covers set handicap as underdog 70% (99)
Fair odds · Chlebecek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.