19 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1586
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruzicka
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1630
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 43% · 2.34· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H89-149
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.