19 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1586
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolar
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1601
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Kolar rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (34)
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.