20 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vladimir Svoboda
ELO 1428
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svoboda
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1364
FormWWLWL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Svoboda
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+64
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.