20 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1468
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Cermak
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1537
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (101)
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H16-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.