20 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1658
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prikasky
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1586
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Pilch covers set handicap as underdog 65% (31)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+72
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.