20 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VV
🇨🇿Viktor Vejvoda
ELO 1554
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vondrak
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vondrak
ELO 1593
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vejvoda🌟Vondrak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (55)
Fair odds · Vondrak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.