20 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VP
🇨🇿Vladimir Postelt
ELO 1564
FormLLLWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Postelt
VH
🇨🇿Vladimir Havlicek
ELO 1465
FormWLLLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Postelt
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~72 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+99
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+99)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)