20 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MW
🇨🇿Mark Robin Wagner
ELO 1508
FormWLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zuzanek
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1518
FormWWLLL
49%
51%
🌟Zuzanek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (105)
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.