20 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1586
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pilch
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1560
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🌟Pilch rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (39)
Fair odds · Pilch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.