20 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1535
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hofman
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1518
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zuzanek🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (51)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H17-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.