21 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Miroslav Necas
ELO 1439
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Necas
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1427
FormWWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Necas stays under total as favourite 92% (12)
Fair odds · Necas
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.