20 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousek
ELO 1656
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Dousek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1637
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Polasek🌟Polasek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (152)
Fair odds · Dousek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.